Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 197.014592 229.799441 267.909894 315.866899 375.142475 446.717342 5.407734e+02
2025-07-20 161.461990 204.676363 260.638454 339.997167 452.296974 609.802708 8.555485e+02
2025-07-27 135.576041 181.447352 245.275696 343.606934 497.097011 738.427799 1.171278e+03
2025-08-03 119.717426 167.225215 237.242792 352.735966 548.763405 889.943771 1.587374e+03
2025-08-10 106.031045 153.181577 225.932275 352.824218 583.922230 1023.419697 2.036136e+03
2025-08-17 96.309771 143.331811 218.909215 357.602565 627.370145 1186.208215 2.639644e+03
2025-08-24 87.419902 133.369614 209.811289 356.348480 658.342958 1334.352760 3.306478e+03
2025-08-31 80.222188 125.143000 202.237490 356.077267 690.814218 1498.371255 4.143928e+03
2025-09-07 75.114155 119.748221 198.734582 362.799136 740.117058 1724.825976 5.389501e+03
2025-09-14 67.821259 109.698138 185.344122 346.811030 732.654804 1797.313131 6.151459e+03
2025-09-21 63.399013 104.282774 179.928255 346.675315 763.874777 1996.555694 7.684194e+03
2025-09-28 59.734952 99.848888 175.805160 348.575109 801.002121 2234.133427 9.754792e+03
2025-10-05 58.136289 99.486590 180.492612 373.594646 915.700560 2832.287890 1.532392e+04
2025-10-12 56.795232 99.522689 186.175571 403.032184 1058.656475 3677.709794 2.589707e+04
2025-10-19 53.510868 95.334447 182.249648 407.472953 1126.435030 4279.199602 3.761596e+04
2025-10-26 51.079043 92.573482 181.021438 418.792106 1223.569358 5139.991535 5.933707e+04
2025-11-02 48.138186 88.439594 176.107095 418.901460 1281.433235 5870.659214 8.769986e+04
2025-11-09 45.853137 85.442727 173.410567 424.834130 1365.864125 6897.133623 1.417768e+05
2025-11-16 43.351343 81.732011 168.532575 423.276647 1420.270469 7821.025697 2.204849e+05
2025-11-23 41.149303 78.465292 164.321060 422.939861 1481.306748 8924.682754 3.628721e+05
2025-11-30 39.575415 76.435791 162.912180 431.291222 1588.321813 10675.155413 7.239349e+05
2025-12-07 36.791538 71.457695 153.485127 411.442128 1549.849397 10958.532507 9.715824e+05
2025-12-14 35.141200 68.923346 150.067864 411.273860 1613.233985 12522.889430 1.941542e+06